Tennis · M25 Dallas · 07/07, 20:00
Prediction: Marko Mesarovic vs Evan Bynoe
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Marko Mesarovic; the market gives 66% to Marko Mesarovic (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Marko Mesarovic with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Evan Bynoe has piled up 1-9 in the same span.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Mesarovic 1531 · Evan Bynoe 1419
| Marko Mesarovic | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko Mesarovic (rating 1531 vs 1419).
- Marko Mesarovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Evan Bynoe makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Marko Mesarovic | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.6 | 7.5-12 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Mesarovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Lorenzo Claverie Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicholas Gore Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexander Petrov M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Avery Tallakson M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/06 | Will Mayew M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Nathan Trouve M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Evan Bynoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jerry Roddick M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Andrew Fenty M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Alex Rybakov M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Michael Antonius M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Daniel Uta M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | William Grant M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Mesarovic vs Evan Bynoe?
Our model gives 66% to Marko Mesarovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.