Tennis · M25 Dallas · 08/07, 17:00
Prediction: Luca Pow vs Gavin Young
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Luca Pow; the market gives 50% to Luca Pow (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Luca Pow sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Gavin Young arrives on a 5-5 run.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Pow 1533 · Gavin Young 1498
| Luca Pow | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Pow | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 11.9-12.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Pow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Petro Kuzmenok M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 15/01 | Karl Poling M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Aryan Shah M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 10/01 | Keegan Smith M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/01 | Bor Artnak M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/01 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Tiago Torres M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Tiago Pereira M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/03 | Tyler Zink M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/03 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Pow vs Gavin Young?
Our model gives 52% to Luca Pow, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.