Tennis · M25 Dallas · 07/07, 20:00
Prediction: Oliver Okonkwo vs Liam Krall
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Liam Krall; the market gives 61% to Oliver Okonkwo (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Oliver Okonkwo is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Liam Krall 5-5 over theirs.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Okonkwo 1459 · Liam Krall 1503
| Oliver Okonkwo | Liam Krall | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Krall (rating 1459 vs 1503).
- Head-to-head: Oliver Okonkwo 0–1 Liam Krall (1).
Statistics
| Oliver Okonkwo | Liam Krall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.2 | 10.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 24.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Oliver Okonkwo 0 – 1 Liam Krall (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oliver Okonkwo 0–1 Liam Krall
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 M15 Orange Park | 1-2 | 19-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Okonkwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Ben Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Tristan McCormick M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Liam Krall M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 10/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Liam Krall
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Aidan Kim M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Alexander Petrov M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Roshan Santhosh M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Ren M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-9 | L |
| 13/05 | Corey Craig M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Alex Rybakov M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Gavin Goode M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Okonkwo vs Liam Krall?
Our model gives 53% to Oliver Okonkwo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.