Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 21:00
Prediction: Sophia Webster vs Kate Fakih
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Kate Fakih; the market gives 73% to Kate Fakih (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Sophia Webster sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Kate Fakih arrives on a 5-5 run.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophia Webster 1470 · Kate Fakih 1512
| Sophia Webster | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kate Fakih (rating 1470 vs 1512).
- Note: Kate Fakih makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Sophia Webster | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.3 | 9.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophia Webster
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Alexia Harmon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Campbell Ricci UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Klara Kosan W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Taly Licht UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Ziye Liu UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Addison Yang Comiskey UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Aytoyan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Kelly Keller W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 04/06 | Ava Hrastar W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Lily Taylor W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Francesca Pace ITF W35 Bakersfield · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophia Webster vs Kate Fakih?
Our model gives 65% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.