Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 21:00
Prediction: Kingsley Wolf vs Alina Shcherbinina
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 78% to Alina Shcherbinina; the market gives 91% to Alina Shcherbinina (odds 1.02).
Over their last 10 matches, Kingsley Wolf sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Alina Shcherbinina arrives on a 9-1 run.
85%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kingsley Wolf 1444 · Alina Shcherbinina 1668
| Kingsley Wolf | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 78% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1444 vs 1668).
- Alina Shcherbinina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Kingsley Wolf | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.8-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.5 | 11.7-6.3 |
| Aces | – | 0.9 |
| Double faults | – | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | – | 67.1% |
| Break % | – | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kingsley Wolf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Gabriella Lindgren UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Reiley Rhodes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Emily Golovanov UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Amy Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Anya Arora UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alina Shcherbinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Kate Fakih W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Kayla Chung W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Raina Miae Kim W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kingsley Wolf vs Alina Shcherbinina?
Our model gives 85% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.