Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 21:00
Prediction: Kate Mansfield vs Gloriana Nahum
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Kate Mansfield; the market gives 54% to Kate Mansfield (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Kate Mansfield is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Gloriana Nahum 6-4 over theirs.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Mansfield 1523 · Gloriana Nahum 1519
| Kate Mansfield | Gloriana Nahum | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kate Mansfield makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kate Mansfield | Gloriana Nahum | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.7 | 10.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 51.4% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/11 | Alessandra Mazzola ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/11 | Didi Bredberg Canizares ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/11 | Diana Marcinkevica ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/11 | Paula Cembranos ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 19/11 | Aran Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 14/11 | Arianna Zucchini W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Aurora Urso W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Gloriana Nahum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Krisha Mahendran W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Maria B Bandera ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Edda Mamedova UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Zara Larke UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Amy Gray UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Sara Nayar UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Mansfield vs Gloriana Nahum?
Our model gives 52% to Kate Mansfield, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.