Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 18:00
Prediction: Sophie Suh vs Ares Teixido Garcia
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Ares Teixido Garcia; the market gives 71% to Sophie Suh (odds 1.33).
Over their last 10 matches, Sophie Suh sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Ares Teixido Garcia arrives on a 6-4 run.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Suh 1487 · Ares Teixido Garcia 1509
| Sophie Suh | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ares Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (11.4/match).
Statistics
| Sophie Suh | Ares Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.5 | 10.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 11.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 65.2% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Suh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Paulina Montiel W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Maria Aytoyan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 03/06 | Dasha Plekhanova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Marika Jones W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Eva Alvarez Sande W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/04 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/04 | Brooke Kwon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/04 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Amiya Bowles UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ares Teixido Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Madelynn Ludwig UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Juliet Jia Wen Zhang UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Lamija Avdic UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Suh vs Ares Teixido Garcia?
Our model gives 60% to Sophie Suh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.