Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 19:30
Prediction: Simone Kay vs Jane Dunyon
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Simone Kay; the market gives 56% to Simone Kay (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Simone Kay with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Jane Dunyon has piled up 2-8 in the same span.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simone Kay 1465 · Jane Dunyon 1437
| Simone Kay | Jane Dunyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Simone Kay 0–1 Jane Dunyon (1).
- Note: Jane Dunyon makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Simone Kay | Jane Dunyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.6 | 8.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 55% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Simone Kay 0 – 1 Jane Dunyon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simone Kay 0–1 Jane Dunyon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/22 UTR Pro Tennis Series California Women | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Madeline Cleary W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Kelly Keller W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Theadora Rabman W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Angela Ho W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Emily Golovanov UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Jane Dunyon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Kelly Keller W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 27/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Anastasia Malysheva UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Gabriella Lindgren UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simone Kay vs Jane Dunyon?
Our model gives 55% to Simone Kay, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.