Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 18:00
Prediction: Isabel Pascual Montalvo vs Amy Lee
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Isabel Pascual Montalvo; the market gives 63% to Isabel Pascual Montalvo (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Isabel Pascual Montalvo sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Amy Lee arrives on a 2-8 run.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabel Pascual Montalvo 1496 · Amy Lee 1482
| Isabel Pascual Montalvo | Amy Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Isabel Pascual Montalvo makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Isabel Pascual Montalvo | Amy Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-9 | 10.4-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabel Pascual Montalvo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Amy Zhu W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jayna Clemens W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Arina Malygina W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Maria Paredes Perez W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Sofia Kryvoruchko W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/05 | Gloria Pop W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/05 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/05 | Monika Jirouskova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Amy Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Kailey Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/04 | Zimora Mcknight UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/03 | Lyric Bonilla UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/02 | Elen Jantacova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/02 | Klara Kosan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/02 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/02 | Shakhnoza Khatamova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabel Pascual Montalvo vs Amy Lee?
Our model gives 58% to Isabel Pascual Montalvo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.