Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 18:00
Prediction: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Constantinos Djakouris
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Constantinos Djakouris; the market gives 50% to Constantinos Djakouris (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Hiroki Sakagawa with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Constantinos Djakouris has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Sakagawa 1499 · Constantinos Djakouris 1614
| Hiroki Sakagawa | Constantinos Djakouris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Constantinos Djakouris (rating 1499 vs 1614).
- Constantinos Djakouris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Constantinos Djakouris makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Hiroki Sakagawa | Constantinos Djakouris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.1 | 14.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Sakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 16/12 | Ilya Snitari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/12 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/12 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/12 | John Cross UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/12 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Constantinos Djakouris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Cody Benton UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Caden Hasler UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/01 | Logan Zapp UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/01 | Rafael Ymer UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/01 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/01 | Kahven Singh UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/01 | Perry Di Giulio UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Sakagawa vs Constantinos Djakouris?
Our model gives 57% to Constantinos Djakouris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.