Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 19:30
Prediction: William Zhang vs Tyler Lee
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Tyler Lee; the market gives 56% to Tyler Lee (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, William Zhang sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Tyler Lee arrives on a 6-4 run.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Zhang 1434 · Tyler Lee 1532
| William Zhang | Tyler Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tyler Lee (rating 1434 vs 1532).
- Tyler Lee is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| William Zhang | Tyler Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.7 | 10.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 0 | – |
| Double faults | 3 | – |
| 1st serve % | 48.3% | – |
| Break % | 46% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Nav Dayal M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 12/06 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 10/06 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/03 | Gianluca Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/03 | Tristan Berard UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/03 | Gray Kelley UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Tyler Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Patricio Alvarado UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Rui Ning Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Matic Kriznik UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Jerald Carroll UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Gray Kelley UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Mitch Stewart UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Zhang vs Tyler Lee?
Our model gives 59% to Tyler Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.