Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 19:30

Prediction: Lev Seidman vs Henry Ren

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Lev Seidman; the market gives 73% to Lev Seidman (odds 1.28).

On recent form, Lev Seidman is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Henry Ren 4-6 over theirs.

68%1
68% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lev Seidman 1516 · Henry Ren 1428
Lev SeidmanHenry Ren
Our model62%38%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lev Seidman (rating 1516 vs 1428).
  • Lev Seidman is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Lev SeidmanHenry Ren
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 14% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.7-1.5
Games (G-P)10.2-9.48.9-11.1
Aces1.83.1
Double faults2.32.4
1st serve %60.6%63.3%
Break %40.4%34.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lev Seidman

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/05 Thando Longwe-Smit
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
14/05 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/05 Rayan Sajjid Koothrat
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/05 Romain Faucon
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
08/05 Rocco Piatti
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
07/05 Zak Talic
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/05 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/05 Connor McEvoy
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
22/04 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/11 Gabriele Felline
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Henry Ren

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Liam Krall
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
1-2 8-8 L
20/06 Manveer Boparai
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/06 Jack Davison
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
19/06 Charles Frey
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
18/06 Graeme Angus
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Nikola Plavsic
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/05 Omar Rhazali
UTR Pro Concord · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
08/05 Maksim Tikhomirov
UTR Pro Concord · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/05 Santiago Perez
UTR Pro Concord · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lev Seidman vs Henry Ren?

Our model gives 68% to Lev Seidman, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.