Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 07/07, 20:00
Prediction: Tomas Tischner vs Mateus Napoli da Silveira
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Tomas Tischner; the market gives 72% to Tomas Tischner (odds 1.30).
Over their last 10 matches, Tomas Tischner sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Mateus Napoli da Silveira arrives on a 3-7 run.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Tischner 1467 · Mateus Napoli da Silveira 1444
| Tomas Tischner | Mateus Napoli da Silveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tomas Tischner | Mateus Napoli da Silveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-9.6 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 49.2% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 65.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Tischner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Ian Vertberger M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Francisco Tomas Geschwind M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Tadeo Munua M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/12 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/12 | Santiago De La Fuente UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Valentin Guadagno UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/12 | Ignacio Carou UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/12 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Lucio Ratti ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Mateus Napoli da Silveira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/05 | Valentino Grippo M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 06/05 | Tomas Martinez M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Juan Ignacio Barraza M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Tadeo Meneo M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 25/11 | Rafael A G Finetto ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
1-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 10/11 | Breno Braga ITF M15 Criciuma |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Gian Gruenig ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
| 15/09 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago ITF M25 Londrina · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Tischner vs Mateus Napoli da Silveira?
Our model gives 64% to Tomas Tischner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.