Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 07/07, 14:30
Prediction: Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas vs Luis Jose Nakamine
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Luis Jose Nakamine; the market gives 65% to Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Luis Jose Nakamine arrives on a 8-2 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas 1471 · Luis Jose Nakamine 1557
| Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | Luis Jose Nakamine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Jose Nakamine (rating 1471 vs 1557).
- Luis Jose Nakamine is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | Luis Jose Nakamine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.7 | 11.2-8.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Pedro Rodrigues M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/02 | Noah Schachter Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/02 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/12 | Oriol Roca Batalla ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Luis Jose Nakamine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Agustin Libre M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/12 | Bautista Vilicich ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Bautista De La Pena ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/12 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Tyler Stewart UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Zachary Cohen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | David Duong UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/08 | Nathan Chavez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas vs Luis Jose Nakamine?
Our model gives 53% to Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.