Prediction: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Ezequiel Monferrer

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Manuel Mouilleron Salvo; the market gives 65% to Ezequiel Monferrer (odds 1.44).

On recent form, Manuel Mouilleron Salvo is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ezequiel Monferrer 2-8 over theirs.

58%2
42% 58%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1493 · Ezequiel Monferrer 1495
Manuel Mouilleron SalvoEzequiel Monferrer
Our model50%50%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 0–2 Ezequiel Monferrer (2).

Statistics

Manuel Mouilleron SalvoEzequiel Monferrer
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11-1.3
Games (G-P)10.1-9.110.5-11.5
Aces0.51.4
Double faults3.72.9
1st serve %63.7%56.4%
Break %45.7%41.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

H2H · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 02 Ezequiel Monferrer (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 02 Ezequiel Monferrer

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DateSetsGamesRes.
20/05/26
M15 Maringa
1-218-20L
11/03/25
ITF M25 Asuncion
1-214-18L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Mateo Carballo
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-4 W
07/06 Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
20/05 Ezequiel Monferrer
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
1-2 18-20 L
18/05 Petr Iamachkine
M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/05 Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
28/04 Frazier Rengifo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/04 Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 11-7 W
26/04 Mauricio Pinto
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
24/04 Angel Veliz
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
23/04 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Ezequiel Monferrer

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/06 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
14/06 Wilson Leite
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
09/06 Nicolas Villalon
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
07/06 Amador Salazar
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
22/05 Mateus Alves
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/05 Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
20/05 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-1 20-18 W
14/05 Wilson Leite
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/05 Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 11-4 W
30/04 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
0-2 0-7 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Ezequiel Monferrer?

Our model gives 58% to Ezequiel Monferrer, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.