Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 07/07, 20:00
Prediction: Valentino Grippo vs Tomas Jordi Leston
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Tomas Jordi Leston; the market gives 56% to Tomas Jordi Leston (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Valentino Grippo with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Tomas Jordi Leston has piled up 2-8 in the same span.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentino Grippo 1442 · Tomas Jordi Leston 1477
| Valentino Grippo | Tomas Jordi Leston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Valentino Grippo | Tomas Jordi Leston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.7 | 9.6-11 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 30% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentino Grippo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 18/05 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Juan Ignacio Barraza M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/05 | Mateus Napoli da Silveira M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Agustin Libre M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Lucca Pinto M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Tomas Jordi Leston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Benjamin Chelia M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 18/11 | Dante Pagani ITF M15 Olavarria · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 05/11 | Pedro Boscardin Dias ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Marvin Spiering ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 28/10 | Gian Gruenig ITF M25 Lajeado · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Victor A De Castro Rocha ITF M25 Lajeado · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Ignasi Forcano M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentino Grippo vs Tomas Jordi Leston?
Our model gives 55% to Tomas Jordi Leston, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.