Tennis · M25 Dallas · 07/07, 17:00
Prediction: Nathan Cox vs Jonah Braswell
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jonah Braswell; the market gives 50% to Jonah Braswell (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Nathan Cox sits at 2-8 (W-L), while Jonah Braswell arrives on a 6-4 run.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nathan Cox 1470 · Jonah Braswell 1490
| Nathan Cox | Jonah Braswell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nathan Cox makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Jonah Braswell makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Nathan Cox | Jonah Braswell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.6 | 10-9.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nathan Cox
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Liam Krall M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Noah Zamora M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Arnav Bhandari M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Justin Roberts M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Iiro Vasa M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 13/11 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/11 | Axel Nefve ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Jonah Braswell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sulaiman Syed M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/11 | Garrett Johns ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Oskar Grzegorzewski ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Marko Miladinovic ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Faragcao ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexander Okonkwo ITF M25 Louisville · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Aidan Atwood ITF M25 Louisville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nathan Cox vs Jonah Braswell?
Our model gives 51% to Jonah Braswell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.