Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 08/07, 08:30
Prediction: Kali Supova vs Manon Favier
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Manon Favier; the market gives 81% to Kali Supova (odds 1.14).
Recent form leaves Kali Supova with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Manon Favier has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kali Supova 1515 · Manon Favier 1536
| Kali Supova | Manon Favier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kali Supova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Manon Favier makes many double faults (9.3/match).
Statistics
| Kali Supova | Manon Favier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.4 | 10.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 9.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kali Supova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Melissa Boyden W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Janiszewska W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 07/06 | Kiara Zabkova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Ziva Falkner W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Salma Drugdova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 18/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/05 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Manon Favier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Natalia Klys W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Julia Stusek W35 Nice |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Viola Bedini W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Charlotte Benedetti Ravon W35 Nice |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Luciana Moyano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/05 | Alice Soulie W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Lya Fernandez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Miroslava Shitaia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/04 | Olympe Lancelot W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kali Supova vs Manon Favier?
Our model gives 66% to Kali Supova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.