Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 16/07, 10:30
Prediction: Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Petra Konjikusic
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Petra Konjikusic
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Pozarenko
7-3 (W-L)
Petra Konjikusic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Pozarenko 1531 · Petra Konjikusic 1483
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Petra Konjikusic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandra Pozarenko (rating 1531 vs 1483).
- Note: Aleksandra Pozarenko makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Petra Konjikusic makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Petra Konjikusic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.7 | 8.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 53% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Mia Milisavljevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Anna Shkutova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Ada Kumru W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Sara Pantelic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/02 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/02 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Manacor |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/02 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W15 Manacor |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Petra Konjikusic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Leticia Solakov W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/04 | Julia Stamatova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Francesca Curmi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Celia Anson Sanchez W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/03 | Julia Adams W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Indianna Spink W15 Manacor |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/02 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W15 Manacor |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/02 | Victoria Pohle W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Varvara Panshina W100 Fujairah |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 25/01 | Valeria Savinykh W100 Fujairah |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Petra Konjikusic?
Our model gives 56% to Petra Konjikusic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.