Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 08/07, 08:30

Prediction: Tea Kovacevic vs Adela Polakovicova

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Tea Kovacevic; the market gives 87% to Tea Kovacevic (odds 1.08).

On recent form, Tea Kovacevic is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Adela Polakovicova 3-7 over theirs.

74%1
74% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tea Kovacevic 1469 · Adela Polakovicova 1415
Tea KovacevicAdela Polakovicova
Our model58%42%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tea Kovacevic (rating 1469 vs 1415).
  • Note: Tea Kovacevic makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Tea KovacevicAdela Polakovicova
Win %40%20%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 22% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.5-1.6
Games (G-P)11.6-11.46.3-10.2
Aces1.10
Double faults5.53.4
1st serve %58.7%42%
Break %50.8%55.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tea Kovacevic

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Jana Bojovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 15-13 L
30/06 Eleejah Inisan
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 11-1 W
16/06 Stefania Bojica
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/06 Andrea Obradovic
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
02/06 Luisa Schruff
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
27/05 Armine Yesaian
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
22/05 Ani Amiraghyan
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
21/05 Angelina Wirges
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/05 Anna Bazderova
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
05/05 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Adela Polakovicova

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Emilija Tverijonaite
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
22/06 Linda Sevcikova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
1-2 8-11 L
05/06 Mirjana Jovanovic
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/05 Stella Cinkanicova
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
10/05 Martina Trevisan
W75 Trnava
0-2 3-12 L
09/05 Darya Velikova
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
08/05 Janika K Alzugaray
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
07/05 Radka Zelnickova
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
06/05 Katarzyna Wysoczanska
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/05 Vanesa Salaiova
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tea Kovacevic vs Adela Polakovicova?

Our model gives 74% to Tea Kovacevic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.