Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 07/07, 12:30
Prediction: Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Teodora Vlajic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Ustiniya Lekomtseva; the market gives 77% to Ustiniya Lekomtseva (odds 1.22).
Over their last 10 matches, Ustiniya Lekomtseva sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Teodora Vlajic arrives on a 5-5 run.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1481 · Teodora Vlajic 1432
| Ustiniya Lekomtseva | Teodora Vlajic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ustiniya Lekomtseva (rating 1481 vs 1432).
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Teodora Vlajic makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ustiniya Lekomtseva | Teodora Vlajic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-9.7 | 8.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 66.2% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofiia Bielinska W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sandra Samir W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Sandra Samir W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Nelli Ivanova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Luisa Hrda W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Nada Fouad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Anna Snigireva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Teodora Vlajic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Aurora Corvi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Sara Cozma W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Elina Nepliy W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Amy Sucha W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicole Giannini W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/05 | Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Amy Sucha W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Thale Myhre W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Teodora Vlajic?
Our model gives 68% to Ustiniya Lekomtseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.