Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 07/07, 09:30
Prediction: Aliesia Reva vs Judit Hernandez Miranda
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Judit Hernandez Miranda; the market gives 66% to Judit Hernandez Miranda (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Aliesia Reva with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Judit Hernandez Miranda has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliesia Reva 1474 · Judit Hernandez Miranda 1527
| Aliesia Reva | Judit Hernandez Miranda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Judit Hernandez Miranda (rating 1474 vs 1527).
- Note: Aliesia Reva makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Aliesia Reva | Judit Hernandez Miranda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.3 | 9.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliesia Reva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Mavie Osterreicher W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Jian Ibrahim W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Raquel Caballero Chica W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Alice Gillan W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kate Sharabura W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/05 | Anastasia Lepskaya W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Maria Golovina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Ekaterina Agureeva W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Judit Hernandez Miranda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ada Piestrzynska UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Athina Pitta UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Elizabeth Ivanov UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Mirjana Jovanovic UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Xenia Bandurowska UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Valentina Losciale W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 03/02 | Ana Giraldi UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/12 | Anastasiia Firman UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliesia Reva vs Judit Hernandez Miranda?
Our model gives 62% to Judit Hernandez Miranda, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.