Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 07/07, 13:30
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Niels Visker
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Ivan Ivanov; the market gives 54% to Ivan Ivanov (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Ivan Ivanov sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Niels Visker arrives on a 7-3 run.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1513 · Niels Visker 1507
| Ivan Ivanov | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.9 | 11.7-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 11.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 23.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Conor Gannon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Zsombor Piros Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Radovan Michalik Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Dan Added Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Elias Ymer ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Florent Bax Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Michael Geerts Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 23/04 | Florent Bax Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/04 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/03 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 52% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.