Tennis · W15 Astana · 07/07, 07:30
Prediction: Julia Khramtsova vs Daria Belyaeva
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Julia Khramtsova; the market gives 50% to Julia Khramtsova (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Julia Khramtsova sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Daria Belyaeva arrives on a 5-5 run.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Khramtsova 1490 · Daria Belyaeva 1480
| Julia Khramtsova | Daria Belyaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Julia Khramtsova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Julia Khramtsova | Daria Belyaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.3 | 10-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Khramtsova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Hikaru Sato W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Laima Vladson W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/05 | Ekaterina Agureeva W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/04 | Daria Zelinskaya W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Lia Belibova W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 18/04 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/04 | Melis Rasim UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/04 | Marcelina Podlinska UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Daria Belyaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Angelina Wirges W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Angelina Wirges W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Danielle Dai Chapman W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/04 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/03 | Valeria Savinykh W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/03 | Ho Ching Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 04/03 | Junhan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Le Yi Liu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Khramtsova vs Daria Belyaeva?
Our model gives 51% to Julia Khramtsova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.