Tennis · W15 Astana · 16/07, 08:45
Prediction: Daria Belyaeva vs Rinko Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Belyaeva
Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Belyaeva
5-5 (W-L)
Rinko Matsuda
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daria Belyaeva
0–1
Rinko Matsuda
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Belyaeva 1481 · Rinko Matsuda 1536
| Daria Belyaeva | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinko Matsuda (rating 1481 vs 1536).
- Rinko Matsuda is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Daria Belyaeva 0–1 Rinko Matsuda (1).
Statistics
| Daria Belyaeva | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.1 | 10.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 64% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 64.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Daria Belyaeva 0 – 1 Rinko Matsuda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daria Belyaeva 0–1 Rinko Matsuda
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 W15 Astana | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Belyaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Julia Khramtsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Angelina Wirges W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Angelina Wirges W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Danielle Dai Chapman W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/04 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/03 | Valeria Savinykh W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Rinko Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Sofiia Suslova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Hanna Chang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Ekaterina Maklakova W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Eunchae Kim W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Fang An Lin W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Tsuki Shibutani W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Belyaeva vs Rinko Matsuda?
Our model gives 70% to Rinko Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.