Tennis · W15 Astana · 16/07, 07:00
Prediction: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Kristina Kroitor
Prediction summary
Winner
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Kristina Kroitor
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
3-7 (W-L)
Kristina Kroitor
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
0–1
Kristina Kroitor
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 1526 · Kristina Kroitor 1607
| Asylzhan Arystanbekova | Kristina Kroitor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Kroitor (rating 1526 vs 1607).
- Kristina Kroitor is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Asylzhan Arystanbekova 0–1 Kristina Kroitor (1).
- Note: Asylzhan Arystanbekova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Asylzhan Arystanbekova | Kristina Kroitor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.7 | 11.3-6.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 0 – 1 Kristina Kroitor (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 0–1 Kristina Kroitor
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 W15 Astana | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Satima Toregen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/05 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 27/05 | Elena Utkina W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Marie Villet W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Kristina Kroitor
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Anna Bazderova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 30/05 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Alisa Danilova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Kristina Kroitor?
Our model gives 72% to Kristina Kroitor, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.