Tennis · W15 Astana · 15/07, 07:00

Prediction: Victoria Milovanova vs Ingkar Dyussebay

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Victoria Milovanova Ingkar Dyussebay
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Milovanova 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWWL
Ingkar Dyussebay 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victoria Milovanova 1588 · Ingkar Dyussebay 1487
Victoria MilovanovaIngkar Dyussebay
Our model64%36%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Milovanova (rating 1588 vs 1487).
  • Victoria Milovanova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Ingkar Dyussebay makes many double faults (6.5/match).

Statistics

Victoria MilovanovaIngkar Dyussebay
Win %80%40%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.51-1.2
Games (G-P)11.8-7.110-10.2
Aces0.31.6
Double faults2.96.5
1st serve %66.1%61.9%
Break %55.9%47.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victoria Milovanova

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/06 Lucie Pawlak
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
19/06 Sun Min Ha
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/06 Karla Bartel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
17/06 Livia Keller
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/06 Aspen Schuman
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/06 Lourdes Ayala
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/06 Julie Myatovic
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
09/06 Lamiss Houas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/05 Carolyn Ansari
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
14/05 Fangran Tian
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W

Ingkar Dyussebay

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Anastasiya Krymkova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-7 W
02/06 Satima Toregen
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
28/05 Emily Sartz-Lunde
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
27/05 Ilay Yoruk
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/05 Anastasiia Kostiushkina
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
22/05 Marie Villet
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
19/05 Anna Kartseva
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/10 Cheuk Ying Shek
ITF W15 Tashkent
0-2 8-13 L
22/10 Ekaterina Maklakova
ITF W15 Tashkent
1-2 12-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victoria Milovanova vs Ingkar Dyussebay?

Our model gives 76% to Victoria Milovanova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.