Tennis · W15 Astana · 16/07, 07:15
Prediction: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Gaeul Jang
Prediction summary
Winner
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Gaeul Jang
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aruzhan Sagandikova
6-4 (W-L)
Gaeul Jang
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aruzhan Sagandikova
0–1
Gaeul Jang
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1515 · Gaeul Jang 1579
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaeul Jang (rating 1515 vs 1579).
- Head-to-head: Aruzhan Sagandikova 0–1 Gaeul Jang (1).
- Note: Gaeul Jang makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 12.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 61% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Aruzhan Sagandikova 0 – 1 Gaeul Jang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aruzhan Sagandikova 0–1 Gaeul Jang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/25 ITF W15 Nonthaburi | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Gaeul Jang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sonal Patil W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Albina Kakenova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Ying Zhang W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Sara Yoshida W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Aishi Das W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Gaeul Jang?
Our model gives 60% to Gaeul Jang, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.