Tennis · W15 Astana · 07/07, 07:30
Prediction: Kira Bataikina vs Kristina Belkova
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Kristina Belkova; the market gives 50% to Kristina Belkova (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Kira Bataikina is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kristina Belkova 5-5 over theirs.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kira Bataikina 1426 · Kristina Belkova 1478
| Kira Bataikina | Kristina Belkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Belkova (rating 1426 vs 1478).
- Note: Kira Bataikina makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Kira Bataikina | Kristina Belkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-11.5 | 8.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kira Bataikina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 09/04 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Doga Turkmen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 01/04 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-14 | L |
Kristina Belkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Vasilisa Taranova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Ani Amiraghyan W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 25/03 | Iva Ivanova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Lara Isabella Kralus W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/02 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Maya Prlja W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/02 | Yiru Chen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-7 | W |
| 18/02 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kira Bataikina vs Kristina Belkova?
Our model gives 53% to Kristina Belkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.