Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 07/07, 15:00
Prediction: Marcus Walters vs Amit Vales
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Marcus Walters; the market gives 61% to Amit Vales (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Marcus Walters is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Amit Vales 8-2 over theirs.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcus Walters 1535 · Amit Vales 1527
| Marcus Walters | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marcus Walters 1–0 Amit Vales (1).
Statistics
| Marcus Walters | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.9 | 13.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Marcus Walters 1 – 0 Amit Vales (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marcus Walters 1–0 Amit Vales
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/25 M15 Heraklion | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcus Walters
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Vladislav Melnic Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | David Fix M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 04/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/05 | Leo Raquillet M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Amit Vales
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Michael Zhu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | John Sperle Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/06 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Spencer Johnson M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Vit Kalina M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Lucca Liu M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcus Walters vs Amit Vales?
Our model gives 55% to Amit Vales, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.