Tennis · M15 Wuning · 07/07, 04:00
Prediction: Xing Dao Chen vs Yuquan Jin
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Xing Dao Chen; the market gives 56% to Xing Dao Chen (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Xing Dao Chen is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Yuquan Jin 1-9 over theirs.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xing Dao Chen 1418 · Yuquan Jin 1409
| Xing Dao Chen | Yuquan Jin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuquan Jin makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Xing Dao Chen | Yuquan Jin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.5 | 9.3-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xing Dao Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Siwanat Auytayakul M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ryusuke Horiuchi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Charlie Pade M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Yuquan Jin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Zhao Zhao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/05 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/04 | Matthew Summers M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Kristjan Tamm ITF M25 Huzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Luca Castelnuovo ITF M25 Guiyang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Akira Santillan M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xing Dao Chen vs Yuquan Jin?
Our model gives 54% to Xing Dao Chen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.