Tennis · M15 Wuning · 07/07, 04:00
Prediction: Jangjun Kim vs Kosuke Shibano
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Jangjun Kim; the market gives 88% to Jangjun Kim (odds 1.07).
Recent form leaves Jangjun Kim with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Kosuke Shibano has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
79%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jangjun Kim 1590 · Kosuke Shibano 1459
| Jangjun Kim | Kosuke Shibano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jangjun Kim (rating 1590 vs 1459).
- Jangjun Kim is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jangjun Kim | Kosuke Shibano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.9 | 9.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 59% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jangjun Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Yua Taka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/11 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 12/11 | Taha Baadi Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Kosuke Shibano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Alan Magadan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Eric Ahren Moonga M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/04 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/03 | Yuta Tomida M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 11/03 | Emile Hudd M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/03 | Ko Suzuki M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jangjun Kim vs Kosuke Shibano?
Our model gives 79% to Jangjun Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.