Prediction: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Junhan Zhang
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Eva Marie Desvignes; the market gives 69% to Junhan Zhang (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Eva Marie Desvignes sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Junhan Zhang arrives on a 4-6 run.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Marie Desvignes 1527 · Junhan Zhang 1471
| Eva Marie Desvignes | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Marie Desvignes (rating 1527 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Eva Marie Desvignes | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.3 | 10.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Marie Desvignes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
| 26/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Jeong Moon W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Cheuk Ying Shek Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Safina Khabibrakhmanova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Carolann Delaunay Billie Jean King Cup |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexa Joy Milliam Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/05 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Junhan Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Yidi Yang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/06 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Yufei Ren W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Anna Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Sijia Wei W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Marie Desvignes vs Junhan Zhang?
Our model gives 57% to Junhan Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.