Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Onyu Choi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Alina Tikhonova; the market gives 79% to Alina Tikhonova (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Alina Tikhonova is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Onyu Choi 4-6 over theirs.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1559 · Onyu Choi 1470
| Alina Tikhonova | Onyu Choi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1559 vs 1470).
- Alina Tikhonova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Onyu Choi makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Onyu Choi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.8 | 9.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 51.2% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Su Jin Kim W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/05 | Ruirui Zou W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/05 | Yiru Chen W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/02 | Ekaterina Perelygina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Onyu Choi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Chenting Zhu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Kuai Jiananxi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Yuki Naito W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Soo Young Choi W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/04 | Na Hyun Kang W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 27/04 | Gio Jang W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/04 | Valentina Ryser W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Onyu Choi?
Our model gives 72% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.