Tennis · W15 Luan · 08/07, 04:00

Prediction: JiaYi Wang vs Ha Eum Lee

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to JiaYi Wang; the market gives 59% to JiaYi Wang (odds 1.57).

Recent form leaves JiaYi Wang with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Ha Eum Lee has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

56%1
56% 44%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JiaYi Wang 1546 · Ha Eum Lee 1529
JiaYi WangHa Eum Lee
Our model52%48%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

JiaYi WangHa Eum Lee
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.2-1
Games (G-P)10.1-8.49.8-9.5
Aces1.90.2
Double faults2.12.4
1st serve %64.8%56.1%
Break %53.3%49.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JiaYi Wang

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Chengyiyi Yuan
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
03/07 Yuhan Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Shiho Shibata
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Onyu Choi
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
26/06 Evialina Laskevich
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Wushuang Zheng
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 16-8 W
24/06 Liuyan An
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/06 Han Shi
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 8-15 L
16/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Varvara Panshina
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Ha Eum Lee

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Shiyu Ye
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
01/07 Jiyun Oh
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Dayeon Back
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/05 Dabin Kim
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
22/05 Arina Varaksina
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/05 Hanna Chang
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
1-0 10-8 W
21/05 Nanari Katsumi
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/05 Sakura Hosogi
W35 Andong · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
12/05 Kseniya Yersh
W35 Andong · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
07/05 Dayeon Back
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JiaYi Wang vs Ha Eum Lee?

Our model gives 56% to JiaYi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.