Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Demi Tran
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Valentina Ryser; the market gives 86% to Valentina Ryser (odds 1.10).
Recent form leaves Valentina Ryser with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Demi Tran has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1567 · Demi Tran 1529
| Valentina Ryser | Demi Tran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Valentina Ryser dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 51.4% break avg.
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Demi Tran makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Demi Tran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.5 | 9.5-7.3 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alana Smith WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Sana Garakani WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/06 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Amra Hercegovac-Sadikovic W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Haruka Kaji W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Hayu Kinoshita W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Demi Tran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Satima Toregen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Vlada Guryleva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Edie Griffiths W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Laura Pigossi W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Maddalena Giordano W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/04 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/04 | Alyssa Reguer W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 06/04 | Saumya Vig W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Demi Tran?
Our model gives 72% to Valentina Ryser, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.