Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Nahia Berecoechea
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Anastasia Bertacchi; the market gives 71% to Nahia Berecoechea (odds 1.33).
Over their last 10 matches, Anastasia Bertacchi sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Nahia Berecoechea arrives on a 4-6 run.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Bertacchi 1548 · Nahia Berecoechea 1529
| Anastasia Bertacchi | Nahia Berecoechea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Nahia Berecoechea makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Bertacchi | Nahia Berecoechea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-6.7 | 11.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 64.9% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Bertacchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lisa Zaar W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Kamila Kashaeva W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Berta Passola W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Romy De Baene W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Luciana Moyano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Aurora Urso W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Nahia Berecoechea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Alba Rey Garcia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/05 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/05 | Karolina Mrazikova W75 Trnava |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 04/05 | Mina Hodzic W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Alice Tubello W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Alina Granwehr W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Bertacchi vs Nahia Berecoechea?
Our model gives 60% to Nahia Berecoechea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.