Tennis · WTA Newport · 07/07, 16:00
Prediction: Katrina Scott vs Mary Stoiana
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Mary Stoiana; the market gives 73% to Mary Stoiana (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Katrina Scott sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Mary Stoiana arrives on a 8-2 run.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katrina Scott 1521 · Mary Stoiana 1532
| Katrina Scott | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Katrina Scott | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.1 | 13.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katrina Scott
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Madison Brengle W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Savannah Broadus W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/05 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Jaedan Brown W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Paola Lopez W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Kayla Cross W100 Charlottesville |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Martina Okalova W100 Charlottesville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Kayla Cross Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Kayla Day WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Celine Naef WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Ashlyn Krueger French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katrina Scott vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 63% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.