Tennis · WTA Newport · 07/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet Minnen
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Greet Minnen; the market gives 79% to Greet Minnen (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Mei Yamaguchi sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Greet Minnen arrives on a 6-4 run.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mei Yamaguchi 1498 · Greet Minnen 1528
| Mei Yamaguchi | Greet Minnen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mei Yamaguchi | Greet Minnen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.1 | 10.6-9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mei Yamaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Junhan Zhang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Eunhye Lee W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Yidi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Erika Sema W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Momoko Kobori W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Sofya Lansere W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/05 | Katie Swan W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Greet Minnen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Fiona Ferro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Viktoriya Tomova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Jodie Anna Burrage WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet Minnen?
Our model gives 68% to Greet Minnen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.