Tennis · WTA Newport · 07/07, 16:00
Prediction: Darja Vidmanova vs Carolyn Ansari
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Darja Vidmanova; the market gives 83% to Darja Vidmanova (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Darja Vidmanova is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Carolyn Ansari 2-8 over theirs.
77%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Vidmanova 1593 · Carolyn Ansari 1453
| Darja Vidmanova | Carolyn Ansari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darja Vidmanova (rating 1593 vs 1453).
- Darja Vidmanova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Darja Vidmanova | Carolyn Ansari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.6 | 9.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Vidmanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Micic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 12/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Carolyn Ansari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Berta Bonardi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Cayetana Gay W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Barbora Palicova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kristina Liutova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Alana Smith W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Xin Tong Wang W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Carson Tanguilig W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Vidmanova vs Carolyn Ansari?
Our model gives 77% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.