Tennis · WTA Newport · 06/07, 19:00
Prediction: Madison Brengle vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Madison Brengle; the market gives 79% to Madison Brengle (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Madison Brengle with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Ana Sofia Sanchez has piled up 2-8 in the same span.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madison Brengle 1561 · Ana Sofia Sanchez 1431
| Madison Brengle | Ana Sofia Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Brengle (rating 1561 vs 1431).
- Madison Brengle is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Madison Brengle | Ana Sofia Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.7 | 7.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 52.7% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madison Brengle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Rome |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Lina Glushko W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Teresa Franco Dias W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Sada Nahimana W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Margaux Rouvroy W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madison Brengle vs Ana Sofia Sanchez?
Our model gives 74% to Madison Brengle, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.