Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 06/07, 15:00
Prediction: Agustin Libre vs Luis Jose Nakamine
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Luis Jose Nakamine; the market gives 59% to Luis Jose Nakamine (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Agustin Libre with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Luis Jose Nakamine has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agustin Libre 1474 · Luis Jose Nakamine 1551
| Agustin Libre | Luis Jose Nakamine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Jose Nakamine (rating 1474 vs 1551).
- Luis Jose Nakamine is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Agustin Libre makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Agustin Libre | Luis Jose Nakamine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11 | 11.1-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agustin Libre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 10/05 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Valentino Grippo M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/05 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/03 | Lautaro Correa Beguerie M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/03 | Felipe De Dios M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Franco Marini M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/03 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M25 Yerba Buena |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Luis Jose Nakamine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12 | Bautista Vilicich ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Bautista De La Pena ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/12 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Tyler Stewart UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Zachary Cohen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | David Duong UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/08 | Nathan Chavez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agustin Libre vs Luis Jose Nakamine?
Our model gives 60% to Luis Jose Nakamine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.