Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 06/07, 10:30
Prediction: Emira Diabate vs Tea Nikcevic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Tea Nikcevic; the market gives 59% to Tea Nikcevic (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Emira Diabate is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tea Nikcevic 9-1 over theirs.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emira Diabate 1505 · Tea Nikcevic 1540
| Emira Diabate | Tea Nikcevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emira Diabate makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Emira Diabate | Tea Nikcevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-8.3 | 11.5-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 69% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emira Diabate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jordina Font W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Lena Thomas Iglesias W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/06 | Anna Brunet-Brady W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/04 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Marcelina Podlinska W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Tegan Bush W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Carlota Corte W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Tea Nikcevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Michelle Dzjachangirova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Gresi Bajri Billie Jean King Cup |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Ella Haavisto W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Stefanie Auer W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Alja Senica W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/05 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 13/05 | Laetitia Pulchartova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Stella Remander W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emira Diabate vs Tea Nikcevic?
Our model gives 57% to Tea Nikcevic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.