Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 15/07, 09:00
Prediction: Rikke De Koning vs Emira Diabate
Prediction summary
Winner
Rikke De Koning
Emira Diabate
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rikke De Koning
4-6 (W-L)
Emira Diabate
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rikke De Koning 1491 · Emira Diabate 1538
| Rikke De Koning | Emira Diabate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emira Diabate (rating 1491 vs 1538).
- Note: Rikke De Koning makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Emira Diabate makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Rikke De Koning | Emira Diabate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11 | 9-8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.1% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 65.9% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rikke De Koning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Sara Cakarevic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Polina Kuharenko W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Rebecca Peterson W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/04 | Michelle Dzjachangirova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/04 | Kathleen Kanev UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 16/04 | Francesca Dell'edera UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Emira Diabate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kiara Cvetkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Tea Nikcevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jordina Font W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Lena Thomas Iglesias W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/06 | Anna Brunet-Brady W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/04 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Marcelina Podlinska W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rikke De Koning vs Emira Diabate?
Our model gives 63% to Rikke De Koning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.