Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Masa Viriant vs Kristina Kovgan
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Masa Viriant; the market gives 59% to Masa Viriant (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Masa Viriant with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Kristina Kovgan has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masa Viriant 1587 · Kristina Kovgan 1490
| Masa Viriant | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Masa Viriant (rating 1587 vs 1490).
- Masa Viriant is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Masa Viriant makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Kristina Kovgan makes many double faults (9.5/match).
Statistics
| Masa Viriant | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7 | 10-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 9.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masa Viriant
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Jessica Bertoldo W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Carlotta Bassotti W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/01 | Madelief Hageman UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/01 | Tamara Kuti UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/01 | Kirsty Robertson UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/01 | Hanna Augustynska UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/01 | Aadya Iyer UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/01 | Izzy Burrow UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Selma Stefania Cadar UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Kristina Kovgan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Helena Muzinic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Doroteja Petrovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/01 | Stella Remander W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masa Viriant vs Kristina Kovgan?
Our model gives 61% to Masa Viriant, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.