Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Nadja Mladenovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Aleksandra Pozarenko; the market gives 86% to Aleksandra Pozarenko (odds 1.10).
Recent form leaves Aleksandra Pozarenko with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Nadja Mladenovic has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Pozarenko 1444 · Nadja Mladenovic 1443
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Nadja Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aleksandra Pozarenko makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Nadja Mladenovic makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Nadja Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.1 | 7.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 71.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Anna Shkutova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Ada Kumru W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Sara Pantelic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/02 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/02 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Manacor |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/02 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W15 Manacor |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/02 | Maayan Laron W15 Manacor |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 10/12 | Viktoria Morvayova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Sandra Samir W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Nadja Mladenovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Tea Nikcevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Petja Drame W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Jana Bozinovska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Elena Milutinovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Mia Milisavljevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/05 | Valeriya Strakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Kiara Cvetkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Helena Stevic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Nadja Mladenovic?
Our model gives 70% to Aleksandra Pozarenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.