Tennis · WTA Newport · 06/07, 18:30
Prediction: Kylie Collins vs Alana Smith
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Kylie Collins; the market gives 59% to Alana Smith (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Kylie Collins sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Alana Smith arrives on a 5-5 run.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kylie Collins 1529 · Alana Smith 1501
| Kylie Collins | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kylie Collins 1–0 Alana Smith (1).
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Kylie Collins | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9 | 10.2-9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 8.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Kylie Collins 1 – 0 Alana Smith (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kylie Collins 1–0 Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/24 ITF W50 Tampa | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kylie Collins
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Fangran Tian W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaeda Daniel W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Sofia Shapatava W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Jensen Diianni W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Jenna Dean W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sydney Jara WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Anna Frey W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Min Liu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Lisa Zaar WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Victoria Bosio WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Hannah Klugman W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 13/05 | Maya Iyengar W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kylie Collins vs Alana Smith?
Our model gives 53% to Alana Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.