Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 07/07, 15:00
Prediction: Santiago Lora vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Carlos Maria Zarate; the market gives 89% to Carlos Maria Zarate (odds 1.05).
Recent form leaves Santiago Lora with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Carlos Maria Zarate has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Lora 1491 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1509
| Santiago Lora | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Santiago Lora makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Santiago Lora | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 12.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Lora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Eric Crivei UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Aram Noroozian UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/03 | Freddy Murray UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/11 | Tomas Farjat ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/11 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/11 | Matteo Covato ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/11 | Breno Braga ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/11 | Tomas Farjat ITF M25 Cochabamba |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Kaue Noatto M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/05 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Lora vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 73% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.