Prediction: Santiago Giamichelle vs Thiago Cigarran
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Santiago Giamichelle; the market gives 46% to Santiago Giamichelle (odds 2.00).
On recent form, Santiago Giamichelle is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Thiago Cigarran 3-7 over theirs.
| Santiago Giamichelle | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Giamichelle (rating 1549 vs 1487).
- Head-to-head: Santiago Giamichelle 0–1 Thiago Cigarran (1).
- Note: Santiago Giamichelle makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Thiago Cigarran makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Santiago Giamichelle | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.9 | 12.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 39.9% |
H2H · Santiago Giamichelle 0 – 1 Thiago Cigarran (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Giamichelle 0–1 Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Giamichelle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Wilson Leite M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Valentino Grippo M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/01 | Noah Johnston UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/01 | Junghee You UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/01 | Artem Dmytrenko UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Santiago Giamichelle Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Leonel Cesar Castro Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Giamichelle vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 52% to Santiago Giamichelle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.