Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Valentin Basel
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Juan Estevez; the market gives 90% to Juan Estevez (odds 1.04).
Recent form leaves Juan Estevez with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Valentin Basel has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
| Juan Estevez | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Estevez (rating 1523 vs 1458).
- Head-to-head: Juan Estevez 1–0 Valentin Basel (1).
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.5 | 9.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 40.1% |
H2H · Juan Estevez 1 – 0 Valentin Basel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Estevez 1–0 Valentin Basel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/25 ITF M25 Chacabuco | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Matias Soto Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Andrea Collarini Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Valentin Basel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Salvador Price Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/05 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/05 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/04 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/03 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Valentin Basel?
Our model gives 76% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.